The Senate Is About to Explode. Here's Every Race That Could Make It Happen.

A New York Times/Sienna poll just found that for the first time, the key states needed to flip the Senate from Republican to Democrat are either Democratic leads or within the margin of error. North Carolina, Maine, Texas, Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio. If Democrats flip those seats and win the House as expected, the math for impeachment starts to work.

Then everything started falling apart at once.

The Democratic candidate in Maine was credibly accused of sexual assault, with corroborating text messages and therapist notes. He hadn't dropped out as of recording, but Grant explains why his video response was what you say when you're giving your party time to find a replacement, and they only have until July 13th.

The Republican running in Texas, Ken Paxton, who was nearly impeached by his own party on 20 counts, spent the Fourth of July weekend in London with his mistress... while running a Christian conservative campaign... in Texas.

In Michigan, Mallory McMorrow dropped out, leaving Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens in a race that is now entirely about Israel and Gaza, and a lot of outside money is about to flood in.

In Arizona, the DOJ opened a campaign finance investigation into Senator Ruben Gallego, that looks an awful lot like Trump's DOJ trying to force out a 2028 contender.

And Mitch McConnell was found unconscious at his home on June 14th, required CPR, hasn't been seen since, and is being reported as brain dead. His staff says he's fine and having 20-minute policy conversations. So far, there's no real proof. 

On top of all of that, Trump is demanding $350 billion more for defense and trying to jam the Save America Act, the mail-in voting ban, into the bill through a budget process that most experts say is illegal.

0:00 Trump fell asleep during his own fireworks show. Also the fireworks caused a Code Red air quality alert.

2:00 The NYT/Sienna poll: for the first time the Senate is actually up for grabs

3:30 What flipping the Senate would actually mean: confirmations, investigations, impeachment math

4:30 Maine implodes: Graham Platner credibly accused of rape, text messages, therapist notes, and what his video response actually means

7:30 Texas: Ken Paxton spent the Fourth of July in London with his mistress while running a Christian conservative Senate campaign

10:00 Michigan: McMorrow drops out, El-Sayed vs. Stevens, and why this race is now entirely about Israel and Gaza

13:00 SaySo News A p

14:30 Arizona: the DOJ opens a campaign finance investigation into Ruben Gallego, and why the timing matters

17:00 Where in the world is Mitch McConnell?: CPR, brain-dead reports, and 20-minute policy calls with no video proof

20:00 Trump demands $350 billion more for defense and tries to jam the Save America Act in through reconciliation

22:30 Why this is illegal, why senators are furious, and why the Senate is a political Mount Vesuvius right now

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